2035 outlook
Scenario: Mid-range emissions pathway
Warmer and drier summers, wetter and milder winters
- Typical summer day:
- +0.5 to +1.5°C warmer
- Hot days that stress plants:
- 3–8 more each year
- Water and drought:
- higher
- Heavy rain and waterlogging:
- higher
Frost, confidence and how this was produced
- Frost and planting windows:
- Slightly shorter frost season, last frost likely a little earlier
- Confidence:
- medium — uncertainty increases with distance into the future
