2035 outlook
Scenario: Mid-range emissions pathway
- Direction of change:
- Warmer and drier summers, wetter and milder winters
- Summer maximum change:
- +0.5 to +1.5°C
- Additional heat-stress days:
- 3–8 per year
- Drought or water pressure:
- higher
- Heavy rain or waterlogging:
- higher
- Frost and planting windows:
- Slightly shorter frost season, last frost likely a little earlier
- Confidence:
- medium — uncertainty increases with distance into the future
